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MC Oran 0 – 0 ES Setif Ligue 1 (Algeria)

Prediction · Asian handicap

MC Oran -0.5 against ES Setif: a small edge on form

Ligue 1 tip: MC Oran -0.5 against ES Setif, rated 60% against 57% implied by the price, on home form and a small edge.

Published Price checked Status settled

Our tip

MC Oran −0.5Asian handicap

1.75partner price
Our view60%
Implied57.1

+2.9 pts edge

Confidence medium Return on 100 175
Match preview
  1. 1MC Oran take 3.0 points per game to 1.0 for ES Setif, with the better goal difference in fewer matches
  2. 2MC Oran are unbeaten at home in their last three (W W D) and scored nine goals in their last five overall
  3. 3ES Setif's away form is shaky: L W in their last two, and two defeats in their last five overall

The case

This Ligue 1 tip is MC Oran on a -0.5 handicap, which means MC Oran must win the match for the bet to pay. MC Oran are 3rd with 6 points from 2 games (3.0 per game), while ES Setif are 7th with 3 points from 3 games (1.0 per game). MC Oran's goal difference is +3 against +2 for ES Setif, in one match fewer.

At home, MC Oran have not lost in their last three (W W D), and they scored nine goals in their last five games in all competitions. I. Saâdi, A. Kerroum and A. Bourdim have all scored in that period, so MC Oran have more than one way to score.

ES Setif's away form is weaker: L W in their last two away games, and two defeats in their last five overall (W L L W W). We rate MC Oran -0.5 at about 60%, while the price of 1.75 implies 57%, so the edge is real but small.

The risks

The head-to-head record is even: two wins each and a draw in the last five meetings, including a 0-0 and a 1-0. A draw is therefore a real possibility, and it loses this bet even though MC Oran did not lose.

ES Setif have conceded only three goals in their last five games, and the goals-total market is close to an even split. A disciplined defensive performance from ES Setif could hold MC Oran to a draw or a loss.

Tips are opinions, not guarantees. Only bet what you can afford to lose.